Fall 2021 started with a rebound amid seesaw dynamics in the US Stock Markets. As expected, since late September 2021, the stock market momentum that started in early May 2021 slowed down and has been impacted by increasing volatility and andom news and events. These dynamics compounded with the factors that have affected the overal market since early 2021, such as COVID-19 pandemic new waves, the job market, the growing inflation, Chinese government actions on Tech and e-commerce companies, and the overall economic policies. The volatility has led to significant selloffs and some buys across sectors and industries.
AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data, Data Science, Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™, looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market as of October 6, 2021 ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here). The key stocks driving the market at the in the fist week of October 2021 were identified.
On October 6, 2021, the stock market went through major dynamics. After gains recorded on October 5, 2021, the stock market indices started with losses, and ended the day with gains, amid growing sell-offs and opportunity buys. Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) went fom an early loss of 0.24% to a gain of 0.30%, Nasdaq (^IXIC): from an early loss of 0.22% to a gain of 0.47%, S&P 500(^GSPC): from an early loss of 0.36% to a gain of 0.41%, and Russel 2000 (^RUT) from a loss 0.20% of to a loss of 0.60%).
By the end of the day, the stock market was back to its seesaws dynamics. Compared to the 52 week trends, the stock indices are as follows, vs the 52-week High: Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): -0.35%; Nasdaq (^IXIC): -0.60 %; S&P 500 (^GSPC): -0.40%; and Russel 2000 (^RUT): -0.62%.
AroniSmart team has continued to build on earlier analyses in 2021( see AroniSmartIntelligence™ in Action: Stock Markets Rebound in Early Fall SeeSaw Dynamics; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses). AroniSmart™ team's analyses show that the market sentiment across all sectors and areas, except for cryptocurrencies and IPOs, has fiinally declined to negative territories, driven by increasing uncertainty and volatility, sell-offs, US economic policies, and international markets concerns.
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A little bit of the insights on the market events and sentiments, from AroniSmart™ team's findings, based on the stock and news feeds data as of October 6, 2021.
AroniSmart™ team analyzed the key stories and news on the stock markets, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data, Data Science, Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™ and uncovered actionable insights.
AroniSmartInvest™ Analysis: Stock Segmentation.
The stock segmentation as of October 6, 2021 shows new allocations, with significant differences in technicals across segments (Figure 1 & 2) . Segment 0 includes the main drivers of major indices.
Figure 1-a: Stocks Segmentation Analysis as of October 5, 2021 - Profile
Figure 1-b: Stocks Segmentation Analysis as of October 5, 2021 - Segments
General Market Events and Sentiments
In general, the negativity of the Market Sentiment remains across several sectors and sites, driven by news related to the dynamics of stock market at the end of Summer/early Fall, the inflation, the views on potential market correction, the political negotiations on budgets, international markets dynamics, the job market and the pandemic. The sentiment on stock related news remains in negative territories( average positivity now around 47%). The analysis cleary identifies multiple dynamics, for the stock profile, the segmentation of stocks, the market profile and the sentiment in general. Meanwhile, the market sentiment has some areas with general positivity trends, still impacted by uncertainty and mixed positions.
The key stocks tickers, with high overall index in the AroniSmartInvest Tags word cloud and Bayesian Network analysis, as of October 6, 2021 can be uncovered leveraging the Bayesian Network and Sentiment Analysis of AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence.
Figure 2: Sentiment Analysis as of October 5, 2021
AroniSmartIntelligence™ Analysis of Positive and Negative Sentiment words.
As depicted in the Words Cloud and Tags view above and below (Figure 1 and Figure 2), the positivity (see words in green) are driven by words such as trust, lead, sustain, tender, avert, improv, proper, innovation, award, cheaper, innovation, etc. The words point to the potential opportunities in the stock market, new innovations, and the job market.
The negativity appears to come from the volatility, economic uncertainties, and ongoing risks.
Figure 3: Words Cloud and Sentiment Analysis as of Octobe 6, 2021
AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks Driving the Market Sentiment
Based on AroniSmart™ team's analysis, it was found that most sectors have been impacting the latest dynamics in the markets, most importanly TECH, Oil, Transportation, Retail, and Healthcare.
A sample of stocks highly active on October 6, 2021 are shown in the figure below, with segments based on the fundamentals and technicals:
Figure 3: Active stocks to watch based on AroniSmart Sentiment Analysis as of October, 2021: Sample Ticker symbols in stock fundamentals and technicals perfomance segments
More detailed analyses, including stock segmentation and profile analysis can be conducted using Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence™.
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